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Cost-benefit analysis of China’s national air pollution control plan

Jing ZHANG, Hongqiang JIANG, Wei ZHANG, Guoxia MA, Yanchao WANG, Yaling LU, Xi HU, Jia ZHOU, Fei PENG, Jun BI, Jinnan WANG

《工程管理前沿（英文）》 2019年第6卷第4期页码 524-537 doi: 10.1007/s42524-019-0074-8

摘要： China’s rapid economic growth has caused severe air pollution and public health problems. Therefore, the Chinese government launched the National Air Pollution Control Plan (hereinafter referred to as the “Air Plan”) in 2013–2017 to improve air quality and safeguard public health. In this study, an analytical framework for a cost-benefit analysis applicable to China was constructed, and the costs and benefits of the implementation of the “Air Plan” in 30 cities and provinces in China from 2013 to 2017 were evaluated. Results show that the total cost of implementation of the “Air Plan” is 1.6511 trillion RMB. The benefits of air quality improvement were determined to be 2.4691 trillion RMB through the willingness-to-pay method to calculate the economic loss of premature deaths. The net benefit related to the implementation of the “Air Plan” was 818 billion RMB. The public health benefit of air quality improvement was 1.5 times the cost of the nationwide implementation of the “Air Plan”. At the provincial level, net benefits that reach 279.3 billion RMB were the highest in Guangdong, whereas the benefit-cost ratio, where the benefit was 5.5 times the cost, was the highest in Fujian. Estimations in this study can serve as a reference for China in formulating similar environmental policies and implementing the “3-year Plan to Defend the Blue Sky”. In addition, these estimations have practical significance for advancing the long-term effective mechanisms of the cost-benefit analysis of China’s environmental policies.

关键词： Air Plan cost-benefit analysis health benefits environmental policy

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Perfluoroalkane acids in human milk under the global monitoring plan of the Stockholm Convention on Persistent

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2022年第16卷第10期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-022-1541-8

摘要：

● Perfluorooctanesulfonic acid and perfluorooctanoic acid highest in human milk.

关键词： Human biomonitoring Human breast milk LC-MS/MS analysis Lifestyle parameters

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China released the Action Plan on Prevention and Control of Soil Pollution

Fang Zhang,Guanghe Li

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2016年第10卷第4期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-016-0867-5

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养殖业“十三五”发展趋势与政策建议

“养殖业十三五规划战略研究”项目组

《中国工程科学》 2016年第18卷第1期页码 17-21 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2016.01.003

摘要：

“十三五”期间乃至未来一段时间内，我国养殖产品需求仍呈刚性增长，但是养殖业面临资源短缺日趋严重、环境制约日益加剧等不利局面，同时面临国际竞争对国内产业冲击加剧等新的形势，未来我国养殖业必须走可持续发展道路。本文基于对我国养殖业的发展现状、可持续发展所面临的挑战，形成对我国养殖业可持续发展形势的基本判断，针对“十三五”，凝练了养殖业可持续发展的战略目标、基本原则和战略重点，并提出了“进一步明确养殖业在现代农业中的战略主导地位”“合理利用国际市场保障我国食物安全”“加快启动和实施一批养殖科技重点研发计划”等重大建议，为我国养殖业加快发展方式转变、实现现代化提供理论支撑。

关键词：养殖业可持续发展十三五趋势分析食物安全

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Post-evaluation of a water pollution control plan: methodology and case study

Lin ZENG,Xin DONG,Siyu ZENG,Tianzhu ZHANG,Jing LI,Jining CHEN

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2015年第9卷第4期页码 712-724 doi: 10.1007/s11783-015-0773-2

摘要： China has developed more than 20 water pollution control plans for river basins (RBWPs) since 1996. However, the implementation has generally lagged. This paper proposes a three-step, post-evaluation methodology to analyze the implementation result of a RBWP and its influential factors. First, a multi-attribute evaluation method based on an index system is established to score the enforcement results of a RBWP. Indicators measure how well a RBWP has achieved its objectives, which include water quality compliance, pollution load control, project construction, financial inputs, and related management requirements. Second, an interpretive structural model is used to detect the significant factors that affect RBWP implementation. This model can effectively analyze the cause-effect chain and hierarchical relationship among variables. Five groups of factors were identified, namely, plan preparation, water resource endowment, policy, institution, and management. Both qualitative and quantitative methods are employed in the third step to evaluate the extent to which these factors have influenced the execution result of a RBWP, including pre-post contrast, scenario analysis, and correlation analysis. This research then post-evaluated the implementation of the Huai River Basin water pollution control plans (H-RBWPs) over a period of 10 years as a case study. Results showed that the implementation of the H-RBWPs was unsatisfactory during 2001–2005, although it improved during 2006–2010. The poor execution of these plans was partially caused by the underestimation of regional economic development in combination with ineffective industrial structure adjustment policies. Therefore, this case study demonstrates the feasibility and flexibility of the proposed post-evaluation methodology.

关键词： river basin water pollution control plan post plan evaluation multi-attribute comprehensive evaluation interpretive structural model combined qualitative/quantitative method

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Scenario-based assessment and multi-objective optimization of urban development plan with carrying capacity

Yilei Lu, Yunqing Huang, Siyu Zeng, Can Wang

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2020年第14卷第2期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-019-1200-x

摘要： Impact of urban development on water system is assessed with carrying capacity. Impacts on both water resource quantity and environmental quality are involved. Multi-objective optimization revealing system trade-off facilitate the regulation. Efficiency, scale and structure of urban development are regulated in two stages. A roadmap approaching more sustainable development is provided for the case city. Environmental impact assessments and subsequent regulation measures of urban development plans are critical to human progress toward sustainability, since these plans set the scale and structure targets of future socioeconomic development. A three-step methodology for assessing and optimizing an urban development plan focusing on its impacts on the water system was developed. The methodology first predicted the pressure on the water system caused by implementation of the plan under distinct scenarios, then compared the pressure with the carrying capacity threshold to verify the system status; finally, a multi-objective optimization method was used to propose regulation solutions. The methodology enabled evaluation of the water system carrying state, taking socioeconomic development uncertainties into account, and multiple sets of improvement measures under different decisionmaker preferences were generated. The methodology was applied in the case of Zhoushan city in South-east China. The assessment results showed that overloading problems occurred in 11 out of the 13 zones in Zhoushan, with the potential pressure varying from 1.1 to 18.3 times the carrying capacity. As a basic regulation measure, an environmental efficiency upgrade could relieve the overloading in 4 zones and reduce 9%‒63% of the pressure. The optimization of industrial development showed that the pressure could be controlled under the carrying capacity threshold if the planned scale was reduced by 24% and the industrial structure was transformed. Various regulation schemes including a more suitable scale and structure with necessary efficiency standards are provided for decisionmakers that can help the case city approach a more sustainable development pattern.

关键词： Urban development plan Urban water system Carrying capacity Scenario analysis Multi-objective optimization

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海上风电场规划的主要影响因素分析

何杰,赵鑫,杨家胜

《中国工程科学》 2010年第12卷第11期页码 16-19

摘要：

海上风电是新能源发展的一个战略重点，目前我国沿海地区正在积极开展大规模海上风电的规划。对中国近海风电场规划与开发现状进行了介绍，总结了近海风电场规划的主要内容，分析了近海风电场在规划中的主要影响因素和解决方法。

关键词：海上风电风资源规划影响因素

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渤海海峡跨海通道战略规划研究

王梦恕

《中国工程科学》 2013年第15卷第12期页码 4-9

摘要：

渤海海峡跨海通道是连接我国山东半岛与东北地区的战略性工程，对于加快环渤海圈的经济发展及振兴东北老工业基地都有重大意义。通过全面分析渤海海峡通道建设的战略价值，对渤海海峡通道的工程方案及投融资方式进行了详细规划，认为渤海海峡跨海工程宜采用旅顺—蓬莱的全隧道方案，并将铁路隧道方案作为首选，汽车通过穿梭列车背负过隧道；隧道施工采用tunnel boring machine（TBM）法+钻爆法，在我国现有隧道修建的技术水平与经济能力下是可行的，施工风险水平在可接受范围；参考国内外跨海工程建设情况以及渤海海峡跨海通道工程项目特点，本项目融资适宜采取build-operate-transfer（BOT）模式。

关键词：渤海海峡跨海工程战略规划隧道施工投融资方式

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中国工程院推出“院士行动”计划

《中国工程科学》 1999年第1卷第1期页码 107-107

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Dynamic mechanism for the decline of China’s energy intensity during the 11th FYP (Five-Year Plan)

Minghui LI

《能源前沿（英文）》 2011年第5卷第3期页码 237-249 doi: 10.1007/s11708-010-0130-x

摘要： From 2006 to 2009, the aggregate energy intensity of China fell by 14.38%, which means that China has made substantial progress towards its goal of achieving approximately a 20% reduction in energy intensity during the period of the 11th FYP (Five-Year Plan). This paper describes some new properties of the mechanism for the decrease in China’s energy intensity since the beginning of the 11th FYP. First, compared with the period of the 10th FYP, technical, structural, and residential energy-savings have been improved to a certain extent. Secondly, unlike the dynamic mechanism before 2000, technical energy savings have been the main driver of momentum since the beginning of the 11th FYP. Next, although structural energy savings are not the main factor, they are still a key factor for the decrease in energy intensity. Finally, residential energy savings are still a stable driver of momentum for the decline in China’s energy intensity.

关键词： energy intensity structural energy savings technical energy savings

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Intercontinental transport of air pollution

Lin ZHANG,

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2010年第4卷第1期页码 20-29 doi: 10.1007/s11783-010-0014-7

摘要： There is an increasing interest on the intercontinental transport of air pollution among the three main emission regions at northern mid-latitudes: North America, Europe, and East Asia. Air pollutants with sufficient long lifetime can be transported from one continent to another. Observations from ground sites, aircraft and satellites have demonstrated this intercontinental-scale transport of air pollutants in the free troposphere. Numerical models have been applied to understand the pathways of the transport and the impact of intercontinental pollution transport. This paper reviews current observational evidence and modeling studies of intercontinental transport of ozone and its precursors, and the resulting impacts on air quality.

关键词： intercontinental transport ozone air pollution

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Health impacts of air pollution in China

《环境科学与工程前沿（英文）》 2021年第15卷第4期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-020-1367-1

摘要：

•Impacts of air pollution on various body systems health in China were highlighted.

关键词： Health impacts Air pollution China Advances

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苏通大桥主桥前期工程方案论证概述

吴寿昌,许映梅

《中国工程科学》 2009年第11卷第3期页码 8-13

摘要：

围绕苏通大桥前期工程方案论证决策过程，重点介绍苏通大桥桥位论证、跨江大桥主桥工程方案研究与比选论证和有关前期科研工作概况。在跨江大桥主桥工程方案研究和比选论证过程中突出介绍了主桥桥型方案构思、1 088 m斜拉桥方案研究与比选、主桥结构体系研究与比选、主桥主要构件结构方案研究与比选，并从基础资料专题研究和桥梁关键技术研究两个方面介绍了苏通大桥前期科研工作概况。

关键词：苏通大桥工程方案科研专题

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铁路防风治沙工程的规划设计

蒋富强,王锡来

《中国工程科学》 2007年第9卷第5期页码 7-10

摘要：

结合国家西部大开发的有关方针政策，论述了在新形势下铁路防风治沙工程规划设计的新型指导思想；从人与自然和谐发展角度，对铁路防风治沙工程的规划设计提出了几点合理化建议；对目前规划设计中存在的固沙防火带宽度和沙障立柱埋深计算问题，从理论上进行了探讨并提出了解决方案。对于新形势下的铁路防风治沙工程具有一定的指导意义和现实意义。

关键词：铁路防风治沙规划设计

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Experimental investigation on desiccant air-conditioning system in India

Vijay MITTAL, B. Kant KHAN,

《能源前沿（英文）》 2010年第4卷第2期页码 161-165 doi: 10.1007/s11708-009-0070-5

摘要： An experimental investigation in India was presented to evaluate the performance and energy saving capacity of a desiccant air-conditioning system composed of a silica gel bed, a split type air-conditioner (1.0 ton refrigeration) installed in a room with a volume of 86.4 m, air ducts and a blower. The experiment was made in such a way that the percentages of return air, outdoor air and indoor air mixed with the air leaving the desiccant and desiccant bed thickness could be adjusted. Tests were conducted on several days with relatively similar ambient conditions. Under the test conditions in this experiment, a 7cm bed thickness is recommended with a maximum adsorption rate of 403g/h. The optimum percentages of air ratios were as follows: 10% of outdoor air, 10% of return air (mixed together at the desiccant bed inlet) and 80% of indoor air mixed with the dry air leaving the desiccant. The corresponding electricity saving was about 19%. As expected, simple economic analysis indicates that the desiccant air-conditioning is not viable for smaller cooling capacities.

关键词： air ratios ambient conditions desiccant air-conditioning silica gel